TL;DR
As North America is gearing up for Thanksgiving week many of the resorts across the west are going to see a powder top up. Explore the full report from Powderchasers here.
As North America is gearing up for Thanksgiving week this is typically the opening week for many of the resorts across the west however thanks to some incredible November storms cycles many resorts are already turning their lifts and this wee they are going to see a powder top up. Explore the full report from Powderchasers here. Summary:Weak systems will graze the Rockies for Turkey week while a stronger system moves into the PNW and Canada for the weekend. This will likely bring some significant snow to the Cascades, BC, and eventually areas of the Northern and central Rockies. The Sierra is a wildcard with the models downtrending.Announcement: Please donate here or support PC by joining the Powder Concierge (Custom forecasting for your deepest chases of the season). This supports your frequent pow casts and keeps the buzz flying for the white room. We are also funding a new roll out of shirts and stickers so send us an email if you are interested. Powcast:The departing storm over the Pacific Northwest brought up to 9 inches at Stevens Pass (The last forecast was for 4-8). No measurable snow fell at the lower elevations of Mt Baker (Warmer than expected) with mainly rain/snow mix. It's possible that the upper aspects of Baker scored deep wet snow (We shall see). Less snow fell further south. Stevens benefited from SE winds and colder inland air pushing up against the mountain ranges keeping temps in the mid-20s. Further north temps were in the low to mid-30s towards Mt Baker. The next 7 days bring chaseable snow to the Cascades, Canada (Whistler is opening), and some areas of the Rockies. Bases are still low in the Washington Cascades with higher amounts in Oregon. Make your decisions on these factors since it might be worth waiting out for additional storms next week as the base depths increase. You might get lucky with this pattern in the PNW and catch openings as the snow continues to build this weekend and again mid to late next week which is a high-confidence bet with cold temps. Both WA and Oregon should benefit from these upcoming storms. BC will also do very well this weekend and next week (Western areas will be deeper but inland areas will still see double digits). There are multiple waves of energy all starting this weekend (2-3 systems to watch). The pattern picks up over the PNW and Canada this weekend with colder temps and eventually moves SE over the Rockies and perhaps the Sierra early to mid next week. The models were showing significant snow for the Sierra just yesterday (Tuesday) and suddenly shifted the action further north. We need more model data as we get closer. The confidence is a bit less for a deep storm in California. There is little consensus on who grabs the deepest snow outside the PNW and BC (High confidence). Currently, in looking at multiple model runs and ensembles there is decent confidence for a decent double-digit dump for most of the northern Rockies with Utah on the cusp. (12-15 or 6-9 depending on the model run). I have higher confidence in the Teton ranges and areas north into Montana and Idaho. Most of this pow in the Rockies will fall in the Tuesday to Thursday timeframe with a slow-moving front. Colorado will do best Wednesday or Thursday with the northern areas favored. Chases will focus on snow piling up in the PNW (Especially by midweek) and watching the northern Rockies carefully for last-minute moves. Much will depend on current base depths and open terrain. Don't jump too early, especially in the PNW where base depths are still low. Below: The European Model shows the low digging further south than the American GFS, hence bringing some snow back to the Sierra. The GFS has much lower amounts. Bottom Line: Currently this storm looks to favor the mountain ranges north of the Sierra but it's too early to forecast as the models flip flop.
About the author

Michael Fulton
Melbourne-based skier and snowboarder with 50+ resorts across 5 continents. Specialises in Australian resorts and international resort comparisons.












