TL;DR
We called the snow event. We didn't call Mt Buller leading the pack with 25cm. Falls Creek is sitting on 15cm and still falling, Hotham at 15cm, Thredbo at 13cm overnight. Snowguns are firing across the board and Opening Weekend is Saturday. The 2026 Australian season is starting in serious shape.
The snow we called earlier this week has arrived - and Mt Buller didn't read the script.
Earlier this week we published our 10-day outlook for the Australian Alps ahead of Kings Birthday Opening Weekend. The headline numbers pointed to NSW leading the charge, with Perisher and Thredbo carrying the bulk of the natural snowfall. Victorian resorts were framed as a snowmaking story. Mt Buller was sitting at 1.3cm in the 10-day forecast totals.
Mt Buller is now reporting 25cm of fresh snow and counting.
The Victorian resorts have flipped the narrative entirely. While NSW has delivered as expected, it is Mt Buller that has posted the biggest number of the event - and with Falls Creek and Hotham both sitting on 15cm, the Victorian fields are heading into Opening Weekend in considerably better shape than the models suggested five days ago.
Where every resort stands right now
Mt Buller leads with 25cm of fresh snow on the ground. Falls Creek is reporting 15cm and still falling as of their most recent social update. Hotham is at 15cm, Thredbo recorded 13cm overnight with snowguns and mountain operations running alongside natural snowfall, and Perisher has seen temperatures drop to -3°C with snowmaking running at full capacity.
Thredbo has confirmed Friday Flat is on for Opening Weekend and has flagged further lift and terrain updates to come. Falls Creek's snowmaking crews have been combining natural snowfall with machine-made snow around the clock. Thredbo's village was recording -4.9°C with snow falling at resort level - a temperature that puts snowmaking firmly in its most efficient window.
